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Market Breath


Market Breath Related To Candlesticks

The chart above is of the S&P 500 from the December 1996 contract. The price range is from 685 to 710. As we all know the S&P has climbed over 400 points since this contract traded. This example is simply to illustrate how the market breathes as it continues to trend. The shaded areas illustrate how the market breathes.

The market breathes as traders buy and sell the market. There are day traders, short term traders, intermediate term traders and long term traders that are all trying to make money in the markets. In my opinion, the short term and day traders are the ones that cause the market to breathe on a short term basis. They do this by exiting their positions to pull profits after the market has moved a few points. They are smart traders. They are attempting to pull profits which is a good thing.

How does this relate to candlesticks? It relates because the candlestick patterns are short term leading indicators and thus will likely catch each and every potential correction in the market whether or not the market correction will result in a big enough price move to make a profit.

How does an investor resolve this problem? Use the weekly chart to review the markets overall trend and to more clearly identify major market tops and bottoms. Every market will eventually exhibit this type of breathing. Investors need to be aware of these market characteristics so they can trade more effectively. The markets breathe just like the ocean tides fluctuate with the lunar cycles. Some tidal changes are extensive. Others are very small. The markets react the same way just not on a regular schedule like the ocean tides.

 
 
     
 

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