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Choosing Entry Strategies - Defining Strategies For
Success
Entry
strategies (or “Entry Timing”) are often a hit and miss
type of this. It would be great if we could always know
when and where to get into a trade, but that is not
the case. We, as professional traders, have to attempt
to time our entries and use our best judgment to determine
if the trade we are about to take is our best opportunity.
Even then, before we get to the point of executing the
trade, we should have gone through all of the “Components
Of A Good Trade” (Section 1.3). There may be better
opportunities out there still.
When
choosing your entry strategy, consider the following
before you decide…
1.
Is it critical that you enter your trade right now?
2. Is there a potential for any type of pullback in
the future?
3. Have you checked with other stocks in the same sector
for further confirmation of this trade?
4. Are the general market conditions strong enough to
help carry this trade, or do they present a potential
problem?
If
the answers are as follows, then ask yourself the additional
questions….
1.
YES. What makes you believe it is critical that the
trade be executed NOW. Is there any news or potential
earnings report that is due, or do you believe it is
just perfect timing. Either way, do as much research
as you can and try to better confirm your decision.
1. NO. If your trade does not need to be executed RIGHT
NOW, then look into the chart (and others) to try to
identify an expected pullback level – a level where
you would feel comfortable executing the trade. You
should also identify a “Breakout Level” where you would
execute a potential trade if the market breaches current
resistance. In other words, try to identify what conditions
and prices would cause you to execute the trade when/if
they happen.
2.
YES. Where do you believe the market will find support
or resistance? Look at recent highs and lows for guidance.
Use the Fibonacci levels as a further indicator of the
potential pullback. Try to identify the best (most strategic)
strategy without hoping for the impossibilities. It
is more likely that the stock may pullback a bit, but
not to the extreme levels.
2. NO. If this is the case, then you should consider
your entry trading strategy right away. Where would
you place a stop? What is the potential risk/reward
ratio? What is your initial profit target and “What
do you do if your are wrong”? Don’t chase a trade, plan
it. Sometimes, wisdom and waiting are the best strategy.
3.
YES. Do any of the other charts you looked at help confirm
your analysis or do they make you more confused? It
is not always the case that sectors move together. Sometimes
one or two stocks in a sector may move against the trend
of the others. These strong stocks may be reflecting
some fundamental difference or market leadership/weakness
capabilities. If you can find any historical base for
support or resistance on the charts and the price action
warrants some action, then you need to do your homework
and investigate all the possibilities. Study the technical
indicators and the news items about this chart. If all
looks good, then plan your entry strategy.
3. NO. Go back and look over a few other charts in the
same sector, maybe even the sector index, for signs
of strength or weakness. It is not critical that all
stocks in a sector move the same direction at the same
time, but if you can find one stock that looks like
it might go up in a sector, there are probably one or
two others in the same situation. Generally, review
your options and review the general market conditions
before entering any trade.
4.
YES. Great. Plan your trade. Identify your stop loss
level and remember to include your “What if I’m wrong”
plan.
4. NO. If the general market conditions do not look
good to you, then often your best choice is to WAIT
for a better trading condition. Remember, you can’t
loose money if you don’t trade – right? The other side
of the coin is to put into place a trading strategy
for short-term gains with very limited losses. If you
feel compelled to execute a trade even though your gut
is telling you not to, review everything and you MUST
establish a STOP LOSS level to protect yourself as well
as a profit target. Don’t let yourself get caught up
in the emotional side of trading (hoping something will
go up when it doesn’t).
After
you have answered these questions and completely gone
through the Components of a Good Trade, then you are
ready to move on to the different types of entry strategies.
So here we go….
Types
Of Entry Strategies
“Market
Order” Entry
- A market order allows you to execute your trade at
or near the current market price. It is normally executed
within seconds of your placing the order (unless the
market you are trading is very thinly traded). This
type of order does not allow you to specify a target
entry price – you normally get within near the ask/bid
spread. Most traders should always place a stop loss
order to protect from unwanted losses when placing any
type of market order. Also, there is no need to place
a GTC (Good Till Cancelled) market order as this order
type will typically be executed and filled almost immediately.
In
this example, a buy signal was issued (as shown) and
if a trader had placed a market order before the opening
of the next session, it would have been filled at (or
near) the open of the following session.
A
protective stop would have been suggested by the PFP
program near $39 when this signal was issued. This stop
level would have been adjusted in the following sessions
higher and higher (as the lows continued higher), until
it was finally stopped out near $42.00.
This
second example is a sell signal market order. As you
can see, the exact same situation occurred where the
market order was executed at (or near) the following
sessions opening price. This is normally the case unless
traders execute the market order during a trading session.
In the later case, the market order would be executed
at (or near) whatever the stock is trading at when the
order was placed.
In
most cases, with the PFP software application, you will
be placing orders after the market’s close, or before
they open for the following sessions trading activity.
Another
interesting thing to not here is that on the BUY example,
the entry (or order filled bar) did not retrace much
into the previous candle’s body. This might lead us
to believe that for this stock, with large range candles
that execute a buy signal, we might not expect must
(if any) retracement. Thus, not allowing us to use a
limit order to time our entry. Where as in the SELL
example, the following session (after the sell signal
was issued) retraced nearly 50% of the previous candles
total range. This might allow us to better time our
sell orders.
“Limit
Order” Entry
- A limit order allows you to execute your trade at
or near a specific market price. In the case of Limit
Orders, once the market breached or meets your price
level, the order is executed – not before. This gives
you the opportunity to set a specific entry price level
(assuming the market actually reaches or breaches) that
level.
When
placing a limit order, be sure to state “LIMIT ORDER
to BUY (or SELL) at $xxx.xx”. Most of you will be placing
orders electronically, thus you won’t have to worry
about how to state the order. But for those who still
call their brokers, if you make a mistake placing your
order, it could come back to haunt you.
Another
important facet of the limit order is that it can be
issued for only a single trading session, or it can
be issued as a GTC limit order. If you place a GTC limit
order, the order will stay active until either a) the
order gets filled or b) you cancel the order. So be
aware that you have to stay on top of the orders that
you have placed. Traders should never issue GTC orders,
then forget about them or ignore them. Those orders
will stay active until they are filled or cancelled
– and you are liable for the order.
Example:
Limit Order Using Fibonacci Levels while expecting a
pullback
In
this example (a Daily CSCO chart), let’s say our trader
found this sell signal by tracking the Weekly chart,
but expected a price pullback after the initial downside
move. Our trader would use the Fibonacci levels feature
of the PFP program to calculate the retracement levels
of the most recent sell-off range.
Upon
setting, calculating and plotting the new Fibonacci
levels, our trader would know that the most logical
entry points would be 42.45, 42.89, 43.33 or 43.82.
These levels are shown below in the PFP’s Fibonacci
window.
Based
on the Fibonacci levels, our trader would know that
the market will likely NOT breach the highest level
($43.82) and if it did, this would mean that it could
attempt to reach the highs again. So a safe stop would
be just above the $43.82 level. Also, our trader would
be able to choose which entry level would best suit
his investment style. As you can see, all of the price
levels were breached at some point during the pullback,
but the $43.82 level held and the market began selling-off
again.
As
a professional trader, we would want to get the best
entry price possible, but not actually knowing where
the market would go in the future, we would simply choose
an appropriate level. I tend to stick with the 50% or
the 61% retracement levels.
In
the event that we are unsure of the future direction
of this chart, we might choose to wait and see what
the market does at these levels, then execute our sell
order when/if the market breaches the 38.2% level. This
way, we are simply trying to execute our sell order
(market order) when the market attempts to sell-off
below the 38.2% level and not before.
Example:
Limit Order while expecting a Breakout
Sometimes,
like I stated earlier and of often, it is wise to wait
and execute your trades when
the conditions are right. In this example, the market
has been rising within a fairly well defined trend channel
and a new candlestick SELL signal is issued. As professional
traders (and using the Components of a Good Trade),
we soon realize that the actual downside profit target
is the lower support channel (only $0.20~0.25 from our
current close). There is really not much opportunity
here unless the lower trend channel is breached. Then
we have a much greater potential profit target.
In
this case, we decided to place a SHORT LIMIT ORDER to
be executed when the trend channel was breached (at
or near $44.10). We would have placed a GTC cover STOP
order ABOVE the support channel as soon as our limit
order was filled. This would have limited our risk to
only about $0.40~0.50 once the trade was filled.
The
reason we choose to lower the limit order price a bit
simply because we wanted to only execute the order if
the market price breached the support channel substantially
enough to warrant a potential bearish trend move. Remember,
if you are expecting a breakout to occur, be sure to
exercise caution when placing your limit orders and
limit order price. Make sure to gauge the market’s ability
to breach the level sufficiently before executing the
entry order (often about 10% of the channel range).
In
this case, the trade worked in our favor and we realized
a $3 profit in only 4 days.
Example:
Limit Order Trading within a Trend Channel
Trading
within a trend channel requires the adaptation of both
of the entry strategies we have discussed so far. We
not only use the bottom/top reversal market order strategy,
we also use the breakout strategy.
A
trend channel is often a very profitable scenario for
a trader. It means that the market is moving within
a defined range of price. All we need to help define
the channels are two defined peaks (to define the upper
channel) and two defined valleys (to define the lower
channel). As we’ll explore in this example, most trend
channels move in nearly parallel lines. So once we have
defined the first trend channel level, the second level
will most likely be parallel (or nearly parallel) to
the first.
Channel
Trading System

The
chart above shows the defined trend channel. The double-blue
lines show the two peaks and two valleys used to define
the trend channel. The red arrows show illustrated areas
where we could consider SHORTING the market after it
breached the upper trend channel and the green arrows
show illustrated areas where we could consider BUYING
the market after it breaches the lower trend channel.
Using LIMIT ORDERS to execute these trades are simple.
We simply wait for the market price to breach the trend
channels, then place our GTC LIMIT order to BUY or SHORT
the market a our specified price. The other condition
I might add is that if the order has not been filled
after 2 or three days, you might consider canceling
the order as a precautionary tactic.
The
best way to trade a channeling market is to wait until
the upper or lower is breached, then identify a price
level within the trend channel that has occurred within
the most recent 2~5 days that would reflect a “re-entry”
of the trend channel. Essentially, waiting for the market
price to re-enter the trend channel before executing
the trade. This provides us with the ability to trade
a trend that is moving in the direction we want and
moving toward our profit target – the opposite trend
channel level.
As
with any type of lengthy chart pattern, trend channels
often require 20~30+ days of price action to define
the channel levels. So this means that until the trend
channel levels are clear, we will be trading with entry
strategies we already know. Although, once you believe
you have identified a trend channel, there are a few
things to be aware of…
1.
Market price will often move above and below the defined
trend channels. This is common as market price will
attempt to “scout out” price levels outside the trend
channels.
2. A middle trend line is often drawn between the upper
and lower channel levels. This middle line is often
used as a gauge of market trend strength. If the market
price stays above the middle line, then it should attempt
to move higher. The opposite is true if the market price
is below the middle line.
3. Don’t try to buy bottoms within a trend channel or
sell tops. The smart trade is to trade the reversal
acceleration as the market price bounces from channel
to channel. This means that either limit orders or market
orders should be used after market price has tested
the channel boundaries and has begun to bounce off of
these levels.
4. Remember, by definition a trend channel is meant
to be broken. So, if you find a trend channel and begin
trading it, be aware that at some point, the channel
will be broken.
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